What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2024?

Started Oct 27, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Various forecasts for China's economic growth in 2024 have been cut as the country deals with various economic issues, particularly in its property sector (US News & World Report, Yahoo). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2024 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in April 2024 (Trading Economics).

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The question closed "Higher by at least 5.0%, but less than 6.0%" with a closing date of 1 April 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Higher by less than 2.0% or lower 0%
Higher by at least 2.0%, but less than 3.0% 1%
Higher by at least 3.0%, but less than 4.0% 11%
Higher by at least 4.0%, but less than 5.0% 55%
Higher by at least 5.0%, but less than 6.0% 31%
Higher by at least 6.0%, but less than 7.0% 2%
Higher by 7.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 54
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 187
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.246496
2.
-0.211187
3.
-0.1857
5.
-0.164177

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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