Will Egypt and/or Jordan have changes in their constitutional order by way of extraconstitutional events before 1 November 2024?

Started Nov 03, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Amid the outbreak of war between Israel and Hamas, regional stability is of high concern (Guardian, Economist, The Hill). For the purposes of this question, "extraconstitutional events" would be a change in the government by means not authorized by the Egyptian and Jordanian constitutions, respectively (e.g., a coup) (Constitution Project - Egypt, Constitution Project - Jordan). For example, the assassination of a leader alone would not count, but the installation of a successor not in accordance with the constitution would count. The fleeing of the constitutional government into exile would count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes, only Egypt 4.00% 0% 0% 0%
Yes, only Jordan 5.00% 0% 0% 0%
Yes, both Egypt and Jordan 4.00% 0% 0% +1.00%
No 87.00% 0% 0% -1.00%

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