The Economist asks:
How many seats will the European People's Party Group (EPP) win in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections?
Closing Jun 06, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The EPP is currently the largest political group (i.e., party) in the EP (Politico, Politico - Poll of Polls). In the event of the renaming of a political group or its fragmentation into two or more parties, further instructions will be provided. The question will be suspended on 5 June 2024, with the elections scheduled for 6-9 June 2024 (Economist, European Parliament - Elections). In the event of a tie, the political group with more total votes in the elections will be considered to have won more seats. The outcome will be determined on the day of the first meeting of the Tenth European Parliament.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 145 | 3.49% | -0.27% | -0.51% | -0.52% |
| Between 145 and 159 | 8.46% | -0.42% | -0.54% | -1.57% |
| Between 160 and 174 | 32.35% | +0.13% | +0.35% | -0.13% |
| Between 175 and 189 | 43.90% | +0.56% | -0.10% | +3.11% |
| Between 190 and 204 | 9.33% | -0.01% | +0.33% | -0.70% |
| More than 204 | 2.46% | 0% | +0.46% | -0.22% |