What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 22 March 2024?
Closed Mar 22, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 21 March 2024 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected the following week (FRED). On 22 November 2023, the yield was 4.42%.
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The question closed "Between 4.10% and 4.40%, inclusive" with a closing date of 22 March 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 2.80% | 0% | |
| Between 2.80% and 3.20%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 3.20% but lower than 3.50% | 0% | |
| Between 3.50% and 3.80%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 3.80% but lower than 4.10% | 5% | |
| Between 4.10% and 4.40%, inclusive | 88% | |
| Higher than 4.40% but lower than 4.70% | 7% | |
| Between 4.70% and 5.00%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 5.00% but lower than 5.40% | 0% | |
| 5.40% or higher | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 79 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 200 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 460 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 571 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
