What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 22 March 2024?

Started Dec 01, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 22, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 21 March 2024 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected the following week (FRED). On 22 November 2023, the yield was 4.42%.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Lower than 2.80% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Between 2.80% and 3.20%, inclusive 4.00% +0.00% +0.00% +3.00%
Higher than 3.20% but lower than 3.50% 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% -5.00%
Between 3.50% and 3.80%, inclusive 5.00% +0.00% -2.00% -15.00%
Higher than 3.80% but lower than 4.10% 25.00% +1.00% -1.00% -7.00%
Between 4.10% and 4.40%, inclusive 47.00% -1.00% +1.00% +19.00%
Higher than 4.40% but lower than 4.70% 16.00% +0.00% +2.00% +8.00%
Between 4.70% and 5.00%, inclusive 2.00% +0.00% +0.00% -2.00%
Higher than 5.00% but lower than 5.40% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% -1.00%
5.40% or higher 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

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