Before 1 January 2025, will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed?

Started Jan 12, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

China and the GCC began negotiations for a free trade agreement in 2005, and the parties are reportedly pushing forward toward a conclusion (Chinese State Council, GCC, Yicai Global, GCC- Member States). The signing of an FTA or the announcement of an agreement in principle (see EU-Mercosur announcement) would count, and ratification would be immaterial (e.g., US News & World Report, BBC).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2%
No 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 23
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 93
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.080793
2.
-0.080793
3.
-0.080793
5.
-0.03531

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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