Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 January 2025?

Started Jan 19, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Drought, broadening conflict, and other factors have left millions in Yemen facing potential famine (Oxfam, ReliefWeb, Georgetown Security Studies Review, World Food Program). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 17.55% 0% -0.25% -0.66%
No 82.45% 0% +0.25% +0.66%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username