Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 January 2025?
Started
Jan 19, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Drought, broadening conflict, and other factors have left millions in Yemen facing potential famine (Oxfam, ReliefWeb, Georgetown Security Studies Review, World Food Program). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 2% | |
No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 62 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
Number of Forecasts | 293 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 528 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |