Tylerdurden03 asks:

Will a spot Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) or similar product begin trading on a US exchange before 1 January 2025?

Started Jan 19, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 23, 2024 01:45PM UTC

With several spot bitcoin ETFs now trading in the US, similar products for other cryptocurrencies could follow (CoinDesk, Coin Telegraph, The Block). ETFs for Ethereum derivatives (e.g., futures) or of firms that have cryptocurrency exposure would not count.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 23 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 94%
No 6%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 44
Average for questions older than 6 months: 200
Number of Forecasts 128
Average for questions older than 6 months: 571
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.11669
3.
-0.11669

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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