Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
By how much will the population of the US State of Tennessee increase from 1 July 2023 to 1 July 2024, according to the US Census Bureau?
Closing Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Tennessee has consistently seen population growth over the past several decades, and an economic boom continues to draw in new residents (Macrotrends, Tennessee Town & City). The question will be suspended on 31 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data for 2023 and 2024 as reported when the 1 July 2024 data are released, expected in December 2024 (Census Bureau - State Population Totals, Census Bureau - Release Schedule).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.0%, or there will be a decrease | 19.70% | 0% | -1.60% | -9.90% |
| At least 1.0%, but less than 2.0% | 74.50% | 0% | +2.30% | +10.50% |
| At least 2.0%, but less than 3.0% | 4.20% | 0% | -0.40% | -0.30% |
| At least 3.0% | 1.60% | 0% | -0.30% | -0.30% |