Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

By how much will the population of the US State of Tennessee increase from 1 July 2023 to 1 July 2024, according to the US Census Bureau?

Started Jan 26, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Tennessee has consistently seen population growth over the past several decades, and an economic boom continues to draw in new residents (Macrotrends, Tennessee Town & City). The question will be suspended on 31 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data for 2023 and 2024 as reported when the 1 July 2024 data are released, expected in December 2024 (Census Bureau - State Population Totals, Census Bureau - Release Schedule).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 1.0%, or there will be a decrease 19.70% 0% -1.60% -9.90%
At least 1.0%, but less than 2.0% 74.50% 0% +2.30% +10.50%
At least 2.0%, but less than 3.0% 4.20% 0% -0.40% -0.30%
At least 3.0% 1.60% 0% -0.30% -0.30%

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