Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
By how much will the population of the US State of Tennessee increase from 1 July 2023 to 1 July 2024, according to the US Census Bureau?
Closed Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Tennessee has consistently seen population growth over the past several decades, and an economic boom continues to draw in new residents (Macrotrends, Tennessee Town & City). The question will be suspended on 31 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data for 2023 and 2024 as reported when the 1 July 2024 data are released, expected in December 2024 (Census Bureau - State Population Totals, Census Bureau - Release Schedule).
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The question closed "At least 1.0%, but less than 2.0%" with a closing date of 1 September 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.0%, or there will be a decrease | 37% | |
| At least 1.0%, but less than 2.0% | 61% | |
| At least 2.0%, but less than 3.0% | 2% | |
| At least 3.0% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 27 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 91 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
