404_NOT_FOUND asks:

What will be the closing market capitalization for Tesla on 26 July 2024?

Started Feb 02, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 26, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Shares of Tesla were hit hard in late January 2024 after reporting disappointing number for 2023, all while Elon Musk is pushing for greater control of the company (CNBC, Yahoo, Tesla - Quarterly Results). The question will be suspended on 25 July 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC, see "Market Cap").

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The question closed "At least $650 billion, but less than $800 billion" with a closing date of 26 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $350 billion 1%
At least $350 billion, but less than $500 billion 1%
At least $500 billion, but less than $650 billion 3%
At least $650 billion, but less than $800 billion 91%
At least $800 billion, but less than $950 billion 4%
At least $950 billion, but less than $1.10 trillion 0%
At least $1.10 trillion, but less than $1.25 trillion 0%
$1.25 trillion or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 200
Number of Forecasts 363
Average for questions older than 6 months: 571
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.191783
2.
-0.14424
3.
-0.126561
4.
-0.113031
5.
-0.100058

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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