cosaib asks:

Will Senegal hold a presidential election in 2024?

Started Feb 09, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 24, 2024 06:00PM UTC

Senegalese President Macky Sall decreed a delay in the country's presidential election that had been scheduled for 25 February 2024, which was followed by a parliamentary vote moving the date to December 2024 (France 24, BBC, NPR). The question will close early upon an election date being officially set for after 31 December 2024.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 24 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 97%
No 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 174
Number of Forecasts 73
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 451
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.206443
2.
-0.205052
4.
-0.12062
5.
-0.104314

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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