cosaib asks:
Will Senegal hold a presidential election in 2024?
Closed Mar 24, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Senegalese President Macky Sall decreed a delay in the country's presidential election that had been scheduled for 25 February 2024, which was followed by a parliamentary vote moving the date to December 2024 (France 24, BBC, NPR). The question will close early upon an election date being officially set for after 31 December 2024.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 24 March 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 97% | |
| No | 3% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 26 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 146 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 73 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 329 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
