argon1 asks:

How many successful Starship launches will SpaceX perform in 2024?

Started Feb 28, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

SpaceX is reportedly preparing for as many as nine Starship launches in 2024, with licensing from the FAA having been a source of delays in the past (Ars Technica, CNBC, SpaceX - Starship). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (Space.com).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Two or fewer 3.00% 0% -1.00% 0%
Three or four 51.00% 0% -11.00% -10.00%
Five or six 39.00% 0% +7.00% +6.00%
Seven or eight 6.00% 0% +4.00% +3.00%
Nine or more 1.00% 0% +1.00% +1.00%

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