What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 28 June 2024?
Closed Jun 28, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 27 June 2024 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected the following week (FRED). On 12 February 2024, the yield was 4.17%.
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The question closed "At least 4.20%, but less than 4.50%" with a closing date of 28 June 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.60% | 0% | |
| At least 2.60%, but less than 3.00% | 0% | |
| At least 3.00%, but less than 3.30% | 0% | |
| At least 3.30%, but less than 3.60% | 0% | |
| At least 3.60%, but less than 3.90% | 0% | |
| At least 3.90%, but less than 4.20% | 19% | |
| At least 4.20%, but less than 4.50% | 80% | |
| At least 4.50%, but less than 4.80% | 1% | |
| At least 4.80%, but less than 5.20% | 0% | |
| 5.20% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 55 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 171 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 432 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 444 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
