What will be the weekly average interest rate for 30-year fixed rate mortgages in the US for the week ending 27 June 2024?

Started Mar 01, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 27, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Mortgage rates rose in early 2024 as markets tempered expectations of near-term Federal Reserve interest rate cuts (ABC News). The question will be suspended 26 June 2024 and the outcome determined using Freddie Mac 30-year fixed rate mortgage average data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). For the week ending 29 June 2023, the weekly average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the US was 6.71%.

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The question closed "At least 6.80%, but less than 7.20%" with a closing date of 27 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5.60% 0%
At least 5.60%, but less than 6.00% 0%
At least 6.00%, but less than 6.40% 1%
At least 6.40%, but less than 6.80% 25%
At least 6.80%, but less than 7.20% 68%
At least 7.20%, but less than 7.60% 5%
7.60% or more 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 50
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 336
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.094055
2.
-0.057751
3.
-0.056996
4.
-0.035554
5.
-0.034158

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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