the-second-time asks:

Will Royal Assent be given to UK or Scottish parliamentary legislation legalizing or decriminalizing assisted dying before 1 January 2025?

Started Mar 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Right-to-die advocates in the UK continue to push for the legalization of euthanasia, assisted dying and/or assisted suicide (BBC, Guardian, Parliament.uk - Royal Assent). The date the legislation would take effect is immaterial, and limits on who may assist (e.g., doctors) or who may seek assistance (e.g., terminally-ill patients) is immaterial. For the purposes of this question, euthanasia and assisted suicide are considered "assisted dying."

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 12%
No 88%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 29
Average for questions older than 6 months: 185
Number of Forecasts 104
Average for questions older than 6 months: 537
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.071748
2.
-0.051146
3.
-0.039321
4.
-0.037141
5.
-0.030495

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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