Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will Poland publicly announce that it has joined or is joining the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI) before 9 November 2024?
Closing Nov 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
In February 2024, Greece and Turkey announced that they would join the German-led ESSI, an initiative to increase air defense capabilities in Europe in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (Defense News, Deutsche Welle, NATO). A public announcement, letter of intent, or similar instrument would count, though a conditional announcement (e.g., Poland would join if country X does A, B, and C) alone would not count.
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