When will the European Central Bank (ECB) announce a reduction to its "Deposit facility" interest rate?

Started Mar 15, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 13, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As eurozone inflation eases, markets are anticipating an interest rate cut from the ECB in 2024 (AP, US News & World Report, ECB - Key ECB Interest Rates). As of the launch of this question, the Governing Council of the ECB had six remaining monetary policy meetings scheduled for 2024: 11 April, 6 June, 18 July, 12 September, 17 October, and 12 December (ECB - Calendar). The date the change would take effect is immaterial.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 12 April 2024 0% 0% 0% -1.20%
Between 12 April 2024 and 6 June 2024 81.20% -7.90% +2.80% +25.20%
Between 7 June 2024 and 18 July 2024 5.30% -0.40% -8.40% -20.30%
Between 19 July 2024 and 12 September 2024 5.40% +3.40% +1.40% -7.30%
Between 13 September 2024 and 17 October 2024 3.80% +2.60% +2.10% +0.30%
Between 18 October 2024 and 12 December 2024 2.40% +1.40% +1.30% +1.90%
Not before 13 December 2024 1.90% +0.90% +0.80% +1.40%

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