benny90210 asks:

When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US?

Started Mar 29, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The US continues to push for Julian Assange to be extradited to the US, but the case continues to be tied up in UK courts (USA Today, BBC). Assange, who founded Wikileaks in 2006, has been the target of various criminal investigations for over a decade, investigations Assange and his supporters assert are politically motivated (AP). Assange must be in US custody in the US to count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 6 June 2024 2.00% 0% -1.00% -2.00%
Between 6 June 2024 and 14 August 2024 4.00% 0% -4.00% -6.00%
Between 15 August 2024 and 23 October 2024 3.00% -1.00% -1.00% -2.00%
Between 24 October 2024 and 31 December 2024 8.00% 0% +2.00% +1.00%
Not before 1 January 2025 83.00% +1.00% +4.00% +9.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username