benny90210 asks:
When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US?
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
The US continues to push for Julian Assange to be extradited to the US, but the case continues to be tied up in UK courts (USA Today, BBC). Assange, who founded Wikileaks in 2006, has been the target of various criminal investigations for over a decade, investigations Assange and his supporters assert are politically motivated (AP). Assange must be in US custody in the US to count.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Not before 1 January 2025" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 6 June 2024 | 0% | |
Between 6 June 2024 and 14 August 2024 | 0% | |
Between 15 August 2024 and 23 October 2024 | 0% | |
Between 24 October 2024 and 31 December 2024 | 0% | |
Not before 1 January 2025 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 44 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
Number of Forecasts | 150 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |