UBS asks:
How many transit calls will the Panama Canal have between and including 15 July 2024 and 14 August 2024, according to the IMF?
Closing Aug 15, 2024 07:01AM UTC
After drought forced a reduction in traffic through the Panama Canal, rising reservoir levels have led the Panama Canal Authority to plan increases in daily transits (Voice of America, Maritime Executive). The question will be suspended on 14 August 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the IMF's PortWatch (PortWatch, see "Transit Calls" chart, which includes export options). Between and including 15 July 2023 and 14 August 2023, the Panama Canal had 1,084 transit calls.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 750 | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | +0.40% |
| At least 750, but fewer than 825 | 2.00% | 0% | -2.00% | -0.20% |
| At least 825, but fewer than 900 | 33.00% | +12.00% | +19.00% | +22.10% |
| At least 900, but fewer than 975 | 47.00% | -2.00% | +4.00% | +22.50% |
| At least 975 but fewer than 1,050 | 16.00% | -10.00% | -19.00% | -31.20% |
| 1,050 or more | 1.00% | 0% | -2.00% | -13.60% |