UBS asks:
What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 2 August 2024?
Closing Aug 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 1 August 2024 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected the following week (FRED). On 19 April 2024, the yield was 4.62%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.90% | 4.25% | +0.44% | +2.32% | +1.25% |
| At least 3.90%, but less than 4.15% | 13.31% | -3.44% | +3.44% | +5.31% |
| At least 4.15%, but less than 4.40% | 63.13% | +7.00% | +21.26% | +38.13% |
| At least 4.40%, but less than 4.65% | 14.56% | -3.69% | -18.57% | -28.44% |
| At least 4.65%, but less than 4.90% | 2.63% | -0.37% | -7.10% | -13.37% |
| At least 4.90%, but less than 5.15% | 0.94% | 0% | -1.46% | -4.06% |
| At least 5.15%, but less than 5.40% | 0.44% | +0.06% | -0.36% | +0.44% |
| At least 5.40%, but less than 5.65% | 0.38% | 0% | +0.18% | +0.38% |
| 5.65% or more | 0.38% | 0% | +0.31% | +0.38% |