JakeWelford asks:

What will be the annual inflation rate in the UK's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) in October 2024?

Started May 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The rate of inflation in the UK has fallen to multiyear lows in 2024 (BBC). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2024 and the outcome will be determined using the "CPI ANNUAL RATE" as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) when data for October 2024 are first released, expected in November 2024 (ONS, hover cursor over chart line for data or select "Table" under "Show data as"). As of the launch of this question, the annual inflation rate in October 2023 was 4.6%.

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The question closed "At least 2.0%, but less than 2.5%" with a closing date of 1 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 0.5% 0%
At least 0.5%, but less than 1.0% 0%
At least 1.0%, but less than 1.5% 4%
At least 1.5%, but less than 2.0% 80%
At least 2.0%, but less than 2.5% 16%
At least 2.5%, but less than 3.0% 0%
At least 3.0%, but less than 3.5% 0%
At least 3.5%, but less than 4.0% 0%
4.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 134
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.050605
2.
-0.045367
3.
-0.038338
4.
-0.031118
5.
-0.031027

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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