What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 30 September 2024?

Started May 31, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 30, 2024 07:01AM UTC

The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 29 September 2024 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 23 May 2024, the yield was 4.47%.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 2.80% 0.75% -0.25% +0.75% +0.75%
At least 2.80%, but less than 3.20% 0.63% -0.37% +0.63% -0.37%
At least 3.20%, but less than 3.50% 1.13% +0.13% +0.13% +0.13%
At least 3.50%, but less than 3.80% 4.75% -0.25% -0.25% -0.25%
At least 3.80%, but less than 4.10% 22.75% +0.75% +0.75% +6.75%
At least 4.10%, but less than 4.40% 47.94% +2.94% +8.94% +13.94%
At least 4.40%, but less than 4.70% 15.38% -0.62% -6.62% -10.62%
At least 4.70%, but less than 5.00% 3.31% -1.69% -3.69% -2.69%
At least 5.00%, but less than 5.40% 1.75% -0.25% -1.25% -0.25%
5.40% or more 1.63% -0.37% +0.63% -7.37%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username