Will Florida voters approve a constitutional amendment establishing a right to abortion before fetal viability in the 2024 general election?

Started Jun 07, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

While Florida has imposed a ban on abortions after six weeks of pregnancy, voters in November 2024 will decide on a constitutional amendment protecting abortion under certain circumstances (Ballotpedia, CNN). As of the 2024 general election, Florida state constitutional amendments require approval of at least 60% (Florida Division of Elections - Constitutional Amendments/Initiatives).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 57%
No 43%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 64
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 218
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-1.033865
3.
-1.012665
4.
-0.947784
5.
-0.919187

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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