What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July 2025?
Closed Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
While the rate of inflation has come down from nearly 9% in June 2022, the Federal Reserve has indicated that the fight against inflation continues (USA Today, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2025 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for July 2025 as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in August 2025 (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the change for July 2023 was 3.27178%.
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The question closed "Up by at least 2.000%, but less than 2.800%" with a closing date of 1 August 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Up by less than 0.400% or down | 0% | |
| Up by at least 0.400%, but less than 1.200% | 0% | |
| Up by at least 1.200%, but less than 2.000% | 2% | |
| Up by at least 2.000%, but less than 2.800% | 54% | |
| Up by at least 2.800%, but less than 3.600% | 44% | |
| Up by at least 3.600%, but less than 4.400% | 0% | |
| Up by at least 4.400%, but less than 5.200% | 0% | |
| Up by at least 5.200%, but less than 6.000% | 0% | |
| Up by 6.000% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 47 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 549 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
