Will there be a shutdown of the US federal government before 1 January 2025?

Started Jul 05, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

As of the launch of this question, appropriations for the federal government are due to expire at midnight on 1 October 2024, the beginning of the 2025 fiscal year (The Hill, Congressional Research Service, NPR). For the purposes of this question, a "shutdown of the US federal government" would mean a ceasing of operations due to a lack of funding appropriation. A partial shutdown will count (Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 3.84% -0.51% -0.26% -15.23%
No 96.16% +0.51% +0.26% +15.23%

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