Vasu-Tripathi asks:
What will the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) propose as the renewable volume obligation (RVO) for biomass-based diesel fuel in 2026?
Closed Apr 05, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Biofuel market participants are lobbying the EPA to increase the biomass-based diesel RVO for 2026 to a "robust" level that would support industry growth (Biodiesel Magazine, Biomass Magazine). The EPA reportedly plans on publishing a proposed rule by March 2025 (PA Petroleum Organization). On 12 July 2023, the EPA published a final rule establishing various biofuel volume requirements for 2023 through 2025 pursuant to the Clean Air Act (Federal Register, see Table I.A.1-1, EPA, Energy Information Administration). The question will close upon a proposed rule being published by the EPA in the Federal Register (Federal Register - EPA).
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The question closed "A proposed rule will not be published in the Federal Register before 5 April 2025" with a closing date of 5 April 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.10 billion gallons | 0% | |
| At least 3.10 billion gallons, but less than 3.35 billion gallons | 0% | |
| At least 3.35 billion gallons, but less than 3.60 billion gallons | 1% | |
| At least 3.60 billion gallons, but less than 3.85 billion gallons | 10% | |
| At least 3.85 billion gallons, but less than 4.10 billion gallons | 13% | |
| At least 4.10 billion gallons, but less than 4.35 billion gallons | 5% | |
| At least 4.35 billion gallons, but less than 4.60 billion gallons | 2% | |
| 4.60 billion gallons or more | 5% | |
| A proposed rule will not be published in the Federal Register before 5 April 2025 | 63% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 18 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 89 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
