J-Z asks:

What will be the closing value of the Russell 2000 Index on 9 May 2025?

Started Aug 09, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 09, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The Russell 2000 Index is a major stock market index that follows "small-cap" companies (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 8 May 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "At least 1,900, but less than 2,050" with a closing date of 9 May 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1,450 1%
At least 1,450, but less than 1,600 1%
At least 1,600, but less than 1,750 1%
At least 1,750, but less than 1,900 1%
At least 1,900, but less than 2,050 68%
At least 2,050, but less than 2,200 25%
At least 2,200, but less than 2,350 1%
At least 2,350, but less than 2,500 1%
At least 2,500, but less than 2,650 1%
2,650 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 31
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 548
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.163755
2.
-0.126717
3.
-0.10175
4.
-0.086195
5.
-0.065575

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username