What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 31 December 2024?
Started
Aug 30, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 December 2024 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 22 August 2024, the yield was 3.86%.
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The question closed "At least 4.20%, but less than 4.60%" with a closing date of 31 December 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.00% | 0% | |
| At least 2.00%, but less than 2.40% | 0% | |
| At least 2.40%, but less than 2.70% | 0% | |
| At least 2.70%, but less than 3.00% | 0% | |
| At least 3.00%, but less than 3.30% | 0% | |
| At least 3.30%, but less than 3.60% | 0% | |
| At least 3.60%, but less than 3.90% | 0% | |
| At least 3.90%, but less than 4.20% | 0% | |
| At least 4.20%, but less than 4.60% | 78% | |
| 4.60% or more | 22% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 46 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 452 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 528 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
