&nbsp Philly.com asks

Will a U.S. state enact a soda tax in 2017?

Started Dec 27, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 07, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Challenges

This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 7 February 2017. Arkansas' governor signed into law an increased tax on soda (Ledger Enquirer, Arkansas Online). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
With the legal challenges of municipal soda taxes fading away (Philly.com, Reuters, Chicago Tribune), some states are considering similar measures (NY Times, WBUR, PennLive). The tax does not need to take effect for a "yes" resolution. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on Rex Tillerson's Confirmation or on the U.S withdrawing from NAFTA.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 65.00%
No 35.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 264
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 563
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.102
3.
-1.004
4.
-0.997
5.
-0.997

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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