What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton on 2 May 2025, according to Trading Economics?

Started Nov 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The aluminum market is facing record production from China and increasing demand in North America (Yahoo [Bloomberg], Recycling Today, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 1 May 2025 and the outcome determined using price data (USD/Tonne) as reported in the US (your location in the world may impact how the site dates prices) by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).

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The question closed "At least $2,400, but less than $2,600" with a closing date of 2 May 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2,200 1%
At least $2,200, but less than $2,400 20%
At least $2,400, but less than $2,600 73%
At least $2,600, but less than $2,800 6%
At least $2,800, but less than $3,000 1%
At least $3,000, but less than $3,200 1%
At least $3,200, but less than $3,400 0%
At least $3,400, but less than $3,600 0%
At least $3,600, but less than $3,800 0%
$3,800 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.108376
2.
-0.096064
3.
-0.091934
4.
-0.070534
5.
-0.033733

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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