What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton on 2 May 2025, according to Trading Economics?
Closed May 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The aluminum market is facing record production from China and increasing demand in North America (Yahoo [Bloomberg], Recycling Today, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 1 May 2025 and the outcome determined using price data (USD/Tonne) as reported in the US (your location in the world may impact how the site dates prices) by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "At least $2,400, but less than $2,600" with a closing date of 2 May 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $2,200 | 1% | |
| At least $2,200, but less than $2,400 | 20% | |
| At least $2,400, but less than $2,600 | 73% | |
| At least $2,600, but less than $2,800 | 6% | |
| At least $2,800, but less than $3,000 | 1% | |
| At least $3,000, but less than $3,200 | 1% | |
| At least $3,200, but less than $3,400 | 0% | |
| At least $3,400, but less than $3,600 | 0% | |
| At least $3,600, but less than $3,800 | 0% | |
| $3,800 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 21 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 120 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |