Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the Rhode Island Department of Transportation (RIDOT) make a tentative award of a contract to replace the Washington Bridge (I-195) before 1 July 2025?
Closed Jun 06, 2025 04:30PM UTC
In December 2023, RIDOT closed the westbound side of the Washington Bridge due to the discovery of component failures (WPRI). After a series of delays, including hold-ups related to the demolition of the existing bridge, the governor's office has announced that it expects to make a tentative award on 6 June 2025 (WPRI, Rhode Island Current, Governor of Rhode Island). The question will close early upon an official announcement from RIDOT that the replacement contract will not be awarded before 1 July 2025.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 6 June 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80% | |
| No | 20% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 21 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 170 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 61 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 501 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
