The Economist asks:

What will be the closing price for gold per troy ounce on 23 May 2025, according to Trading Economics?

Started Nov 22, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 23, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Gold prices fell from all-time highs in the wake of US elections, but demand is expected to remain strong (Economist, MSN [Reuters], Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 22 May 2025 and the outcome determined using price data (USD/t. oz) as reported in the US (your location in the world may impact how the site dates prices) by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).

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The question closed "$3,300 or more" with a closing date of 23 May 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2,300 0%
At least $2,300, but less than $2,400 0%
At least $2,400, but less than $2,500 0%
At least $2,500, but less than $2,600 0%
At least $2,600, but less than $2,700 1%
At least $2,700, but less than $2,800 1%
At least $2,800, but less than $2,900 1%
At least $2,900, but less than $3,000 2%
At least $3,000, but less than $3,100 4%
At least $3,100, but less than $3,200 12%
At least $3,200, but less than $3,300 35%
$3,300 or more 44%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 260
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 1563
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.739909
2.
-0.541499
3.
-0.529733
4.
-0.507596
5.
-0.489634

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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