Will Hillary Clinton win New Hampshire's Democratic primary?
Started
Sep 21, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 10, 2016 01:00AM UTC
Closed Feb 10, 2016 01:00AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
This question asks about win probability, not vote share!
For more information on the candidates, the primary process, and the primary schedule see: Candidates, How the Presidential Primary Works, Schedule.
Recommended Questions Which Republican presidential candidate will win the New Hampshire primary on 9 February? Which Democratic presidential candidate will win the Iowa caucuses on 1 February? Which Republican presidential candidate will win the Iowa caucuses on 1 February?
Recommended Questions Which Republican presidential candidate will win the New Hampshire primary on 9 February? Which Democratic presidential candidate will win the Iowa caucuses on 1 February? Which Republican presidential candidate will win the Iowa caucuses on 1 February?
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 44.00% | |
No | 56.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 2430 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 4507 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |