salinas asks:
What will be the value of Drewry's World Container Index (WCI) on 12 June 2025?
Closed Jun 12, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden continue to impact the use of the Red Sea for global shipping as shortages in shipping containers and qualified personnel put pressure on the industry (CNBC, Bertling, AD Ports Group). The question will be suspended on 11 June 2025 and the outcome determined using the WCI index value for 12 June 2025 as reported by Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited (Drewry, Marine Insight). On 28 November 2024, the value of the WCI was $3,331.
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The question closed "At least $3,000, but less than $3,600" with a closing date of 12 June 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $1,200 | 1% | |
| At least $1,200, but less than $1,800 | 1% | |
| At least $1,800, but less than $2,400 | 3% | |
| At least $2,400, but less than $3,000 | 13% | |
| At least $3,000, but less than $3,600 | 19% | |
| At least $3,600, but less than $4,200 | 37% | |
| At least $4,200, but less than $4,800 | 16% | |
| At least $4,800, but less than $5,500 | 6% | |
| At least $5,500, but less than $6,300 | 2% | |
| At least $6,300, but less than $7,200 | 1% | |
| At least $7,200, but less than $8,200 | 1% | |
| At least $8,200, but less than $9,300 | 1% | |
| $9,300 or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 22 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 222 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
