The Economist asks:
Before 1 October 2025, will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed?
Closed Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
China and the GCC began negotiations for a free trade agreement in 2005, and the parties are reportedly pushing forward toward a conclusion despite concerns raised in May 2024 (Economist, Chinese State Council, GCC - News, US News & World Report, GCC - Member States). The signing of an FTA or the announcement of an agreement in principle (see EU-Mercosur announcement) would count, and ratification would be immaterial (e.g., US News & World Report, BBC).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | |
| No | 92% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 178 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 650 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
