What will be the value of Total Assets of the Federal Reserve as of 31 December 2025?

Started Jan 03, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has shed about $2 trillion from June 2022 to December 2024, though the central bank slowed the pace of roll off in assets starting in June 2024 (US News & World Report, CME Group, Investopedia, Federal Reserve - Implementation Note 1 May 2024). The question will be suspended on 30 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data provided by the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve (data table), FRED). As of 25 December 2024, the Total Assets of the Federal Reserve were $6,885,963 million, or $6.885963 trillion.

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The question closed "At least $6.6 trillion, but less than $6.9 trillion" with a closing date of 31 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $5.4 trillion 0%
At least $5.4 trillion, but less than $5.7 trillion 0%
At least $5.7 trillion, but less than $6.0 trillion 0%
At least $6.0 trillion, but less than $6.3 trillion 0%
At least $6.3 trillion, but less than $6.6 trillion 79%
At least $6.6 trillion, but less than $6.9 trillion 16%
At least $6.9 trillion, but less than $7.2 trillion 5%
$7.2 trillion or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 25
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 83
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.128279
2.
-0.123307
3.
-0.115643
4.
-0.073514
5.
-0.065872

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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