At close of business on 18 June 2025, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 7 May 2025?

Started Jan 31, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 18, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its June meeting is scheduled for 17-18 June 2025.

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The question closed "Same" with a closing date of 18 June 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 3%
Same 97%
Higher 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 147
Number of Forecasts 159
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 393
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.42196
2.
-0.386385
3.
-0.293025
4.
-0.261714
5.
-0.128785

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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