Will a Western Hemisphere nation publicly announce that it has or will either leave or not renew its affiliation with China's Belt and Road Initiative before 1 December 2025?
Closed Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
In early February 2025, Panamanian President José Raúl Mulino announced that his country would leave China's Belt and Road Initiative amid US pressure (President of Panama [in Spanish], Voice of America, Newsweek). The timing of an exit is immaterial. For the purposes of this question, a nation is a Western Hemisphere nation if so categorized by the IMF and excluding Canada and the US (IMF).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | |
| No | 98% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 67 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 182 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
