What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June 2025?
Closed Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The US inflation rate has begun to creep up, complicating prospects of future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (CNN, Investopedia - Consumer Price Index). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for June 2025 when first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in July 2025 (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the change for June 2024 was 2.97009%.
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The question closed "Up by at least 2.600%, but less than 3.000%" with a closing date of 1 July 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Up by less than 1.800% or down | 0% | |
| Up by at least 1.800%, but less than 2.200% | 4% | |
| Up by at least 2.200%, but less than 2.600% | 53% | |
| Up by at least 2.600%, but less than 3.000% | 35% | |
| Up by at least 3.000%, but less than 3.400% | 5% | |
| Up by at least 3.400%, but less than 3.800% | 1% | |
| Up by at least 3.800%, but less than 4.200% | 0% | |
| Up by 4.200% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 62 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 239 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
