What will be the weekly average interest rate for 30-year fixed rate mortgages in the US for the week ending 26 June 2025?

Started Feb 26, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 26, 2025 07:01AM UTC

As US interest rate cut expectations have waned due to inflation, mortgage rates have remained elevated to start off 2025 (USA Today, Mortgage News Daily). The question will be suspended 25 June 2025 and the outcome determined using Freddie Mac 30-year fixed rate mortgage average data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). For the week ending 27 June 2024, the weekly average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the US was 6.86%.

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The question closed "At least 6.60%, but less than 6.95%" with a closing date of 26 June 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5.20% 1%
At least 5.20%, but less than 5.55% 0%
At least 5.55%, but less than 5.90% 0%
At least 5.90%, but less than 6.25% 0%
At least 6.25%, but less than 6.60% 6%
At least 6.60%, but less than 6.95% 84%
At least 6.95%, but less than 7.30% 9%
At least 7.30%, but less than 7.65% 0%
At least 7.65%, but less than 8.00% 0%
8.00% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 51
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 271
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.066077
2.
-0.04288
3.
-0.040237
4.
-0.036539
5.
-0.033775

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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