What will be the closing yield for German 10-year Bunds (bonds) on 19 September 2025?
Closed Sep 19, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The yield (or interest rate) for 10-year German Bunds jumped in March 2025 as government coalition talks led to a plan for a constitutional change to the country's "debt brake" (Deutsche Welle, MSN [Reuters], CNBC). The question will be suspended on 18 September 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set to "6M"). On 14 March 2025, the yield was 2.873%.
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The question closed "At least 2.50%, but less than 2.75%" with a closing date of 19 September 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.00% | 0% | |
| At least 2.00%, but less than 2.25% | 1% | |
| At least 2.25%, but less than 2.50% | 5% | |
| At least 2.50%, but less than 2.75% | 76% | |
| At least 2.75%, but less than 3.00% | 15% | |
| At least 3.00%, but less than 3.25% | 2% | |
| At least 3.25%, but less than 3.50% | 1% | |
| At least 3.50%, but less than 3.75% | 0% | |
| 3.75% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 26 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 113 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
