What will be the value of the monthly US Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index for November 2025?
Closed Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Uncertainty surrounding policies coming out of the new Trump administration have taken a toll on economic outlooks for the US and elsewhere (NPR, MSN [Reuters]). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2025 and the outcome determined using Economic Policy Uncertainty Index data for the US as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the index value for November 2024 was 162.50269.
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The question closed "At least 200.0, but less than 240.0" with a closing date of 1 December 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 120.0 | 0% | |
| At least 120.0, but less than 160.0 | 1% | |
| At least 160.0, but less than 200.0 | 62% | |
| At least 200.0, but less than 240.0 | 32% | |
| At least 240.0, but less than 280.0 | 4% | |
| At least 280.0, but less than 320.0 | 1% | |
| At least 320.0, but less than 360.0 | 0% | |
| 360.0 or higher | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 21 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 60 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
