Will the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities be higher on 3 April 2025 than the yield on 1 April 2025?
Started
Mar 26, 2025 02:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Apr 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
President Trump has labeled 2 April 2025 as "Liberation Day," when his administration is expected to announce a series of new tariffs on various US trading partners (NBC News, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The question will be suspended on 1 April 2025 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 April 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | |
| No | 72% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 22 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 124 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 33 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 285 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
