Will the US House of Representatives vote on a joint resolution to terminate the president's declared national emergency to impose tariffs on Canadian imports before 26 July 2025?
Closed Jul 26, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The US Senate voted 51-48 on 2 April 2025 to pass a joint resolution that would terminate the national emergency declared by President Trump to impose tariffs on Canada over illicit drug trafficking (Senate Joint Resolution 37, Newsweek, Executive Order 14193). The next day, Rep. Gregory Meeks announced that he was introducing a discharge petition to try and force a vote on the measure (House Foreign Affairs Committee, CBS News). If the president terminates the declared national emergency before a pertinent full House vote without immediately replacing it with a declaration with the same effect of enabling tariff imposition on Canada, the question will close "No."
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 July 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and it will pass the House | 1% | |
| Yes, but it will not pass the House | 2% | |
| No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 62 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 183 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
