Will the Federal Reserve announce a change in the target range for the federal funds rate before 6 May 2025?

Started Apr 07, 2025 04:30PM UTC
Closed May 06, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Jumps in economic uncertainty in the wake of President Trump's various impositions of tariffs have led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may intervene before its next scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the FOMC, and its next meeting is scheduled for 6-7 May 2025 (Federal Reserve).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 6 May 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1%
No 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 124
Number of Forecasts 89
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 285
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001466
2.
-0.001466
4.
-0.001452
5.
-0.001417

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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