Will Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia leave El Salvador before 19 July 2025?

Started Apr 18, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 19, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The US removed Garcia, a putative member of the international criminal gang MS-13, from the country on 15 March 2025 to El Salvador, which it later asserted was due to an "administrative error" because an immigration judge in 2019 had ordered that he not be removed to El Salvador (ABC News, WUSA). The Supreme Court backed decisions made by the district court on 10 April 2025, though El Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele said on 14 April 2025 that he could not return Garcia to the US (US Supreme Court - Noem v. Garcia 10 April 2025, CNBC).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 20.05% +1.60% -14.95% -16.15%
No 79.95% -1.60% +14.95% +16.15%

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