President Trump has increased strikes against the Iranian-backed Houthi forces in Yemen as the group continues to attack shipping off the coast of the country (AP, NPR). The Houthi forces, which began attacking commercial shipping in late 2023 soon after Israel began its campaign against Hamas in Gaza, announced that they would resume attacking "Israeli vessels" after a pause coinciding with a ceasefire in Gaza (Al Jazeera). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the IMF's PortWatch (IMF, see "Transit Calls" chart, which includes export options). The question will close as of the date the 7-day moving average reaches or exceeds 60 (the figure is rounded to the nearest whole number on the chart, exported data will be used to confirm for resolution). As of the launch of this question, PortWatch reported the last time the 7-day moving average of daily transit calls was at or above 60 was 31 December 2023 (60.14286, click "Export Data" on the upper right side of the chart).

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