When will the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) or a CARICOM member state other than Guyana accuse Venezuela of sending military ground forces into Guyana without Guyana's permission?
Closing Apr 25, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Guyana continues to raise concerns about actions of Venezuela, which claims over two-thirds of Guyanese territory as its own (Crisis Group, Guyana Ministry of Foreign Affairs, St. Kitts Observer). Venezuela's Maduro government held a controversial referendum on 3 December 2023 to vote on Venezuela's rights to that territory (AP, PBS). Accusations of Venezuela sending military forces to Ankoko Island alone will not count (Demerara Waves). Accusations from Associate Members will not count (CARICOM). For the purposes of this question, "Guyana" means the internationally recognized territory of the country, and both the accusation and the sending must occur during the question's open period to count.
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Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
---|---|---|---|
Before 24 August 2025 | 4.00% | +0.12% | +0.12% |
Between 24 August 2025 and 23 December 2025 | 8.33% | +0.20% | +0.20% |
Between 24 December 2025 and 24 April 2026 | 17.78% | -0.97% | -0.97% |
Not before 25 April 2026 | 69.89% | +0.64% | +0.64% |