After a pair of military exchanges between Iran and Israel in April and October 2024, concerns over future military engagements persist as new negotiations between the US and Iran continue (Newsweek, Middle East Eye, Al Jazeera). The geographic origin of and weaponry used in a military strike will be immaterial so long as either 1) the weapon detonates or discharges on or over Iranian territory, or 2) the weapon is intercepted or destroyed while en route to Iranian territory. A cyberattack alone will not count. Actions not executed by the IDF will not count (e.g., covert assassinations of nuclear scientists by Mossad Al Jazeera). Public acknowledgment is not required, and the default evidentiary standard will be used, that being credible, open-source media reporting.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 12 June 2025.

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