What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 21 November 2025?

Started May 02, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC

US tariff policies are expected to impact segments of the maritime shipping industry in differently (Yahoo [GuruFocus], Hellenic Shipping News). The Baltic Dry Index is a benchmark index for the cost of shipping bulk goods, such as coal and grain (Investopedia - Baltic Dry Index). The question will be suspended on 20 November 2025 and the outcome determined using Baltic Exchange Dry Index data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "At least 2,000, but less than 2,400" with a closing date of 21 November 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 400 0%
At least 400, but less than 800 0%
At least 800, but less than 1,200 0%
At least 1,200, but less than 1,600 0%
At least 1,600, but less than 2,000 9%
At least 2,000, but less than 2,400 89%
At least 2,400, but less than 2,800 2%
At least 2,800, but less than 3,200 0%
At least 3,200, but less than 3,600 0%
At least 3,600, but less than 4,000 0%
4,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 24
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 153
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.111679
2.
-0.100374
3.
-0.066991
4.
-0.049863
5.
-0.046323

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username